Dollar Rallies as Geopolitical Tensions Ease and Fed Hike Bets Recede
The U.S. dollar index surged 0.5% to 99.641 as investors recalibrated expectations for a Federal Reserve pause in December, following signs of potential de-escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict. With CME FedWatch now pricing a 70.6% probability of a policy hold, the greenback has hit multi-year highs against the yen while trade optimism grows ahead of a scheduled Trump-Xi summit in May.