Last mentioned: Mar 26, 2026
Next Scheduled Update
Market awaits data to see if the downward trend in claims persists into mid-March.
Planet Labs Earnings
Planet Labs releases Q4 results showing a widening loss despite its role in the GEOINT sector.
Compass-Zillow Resolution
Compass officially drops its legal action against Zillow following rule changes.
Fed Commentary
Jerome Powell's hawkish stance on inflation triggers a sharp decline in U.S. stocks and Treasuries.
Arizona vs. Kalshi
Arizona state authorities file criminal charges against Kalshi over event-based betting.
Current Release
Department of Labor reports a dip to 213,000 initial applications.
Previous Reporting Period
Jobless claims showed minor fluctuations but remained near the 220,000 mark.
GDP Report Released
Official data confirms 1.4% growth, missing market expectations.
Modest Rise
Claims reach 212,000, the highest level in three weeks but still historically low.
Modest Rise
Claims rose to 212,000, the highest level in three weeks but still low historically.
Steady State
Filings held firm at 210,000 as seasonal adjustments normalized.
Slight Dip
Filings dropped to 205,000 as hiring remained brisk across core sectors.
Claims Dip
Initial filings recorded at 208,000, showing unexpected strength.
Claims Stable
Initial claims held steady at 208,000, showing little volatility.
Preliminary Estimates
Early data suggests a slowdown in consumer holiday spending.
Q4 Begins
Economic activity starts the quarter amid high interest rate expectations.
U.S. stock indices finished Wednesday's session with modest gains after a significant early-morning rally lost momentum. Investors engaged in opportunistic buying following recent market pullbacks, supported by stronger-than-expected durable goods data, though rising Treasury yields capped the upside.
Arizona has initiated criminal proceedings against prediction market Kalshi over alleged illegal betting, marking a major escalation in state-level oversight of financial derivatives. Simultaneously, satellite imagery leader Planet Labs reported a widening Q4 loss amid a broader market downturn triggered by hawkish Federal Reserve commentary.
The average long-term mortgage rate in the United States has climbed to 6.22%, marking its highest point in over three months. This uptick signals a potential cooling in the spring homebuying season as borrowing costs squeeze affordability for prospective buyers.
Escalating geopolitical tensions with Iran are poised to offset the consumer spending boost typically generated by the spring tax refund season. As energy costs climb and consumer confidence wavers, the 'extra' cash in American households is being diverted to essential costs rather than discretionary growth.
The US government has revised its fourth-quarter GDP growth estimate downward to a sluggish 0.7%, signaling a sharp cooling of the economy. This deceleration suggests a tightening of capital deployment and a continued shift toward capital efficiency among growth-stage startups.
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in the United States has increased to 6.11%, signaling a tightening of credit conditions for the spring buying season. This uptick reflects persistent volatility in the bond market and shifting expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's long-term interest rate strategy.
Weekly US unemployment applications fell to 213,000, signaling a resilient labor market that continues to defy cooling expectations. For the venture ecosystem, this persistent tightness suggests that talent retention and high labor costs will remain critical hurdles for growth-stage startups.
Weekly applications for unemployment benefits in the United States fell to 213,000, signaling continued stability in the labor market. This marginal decline suggests that employers remain hesitant to reduce headcount despite broader economic shifts, maintaining a tight talent environment for HR leaders.
While February's inflation data offered a temporary reprieve for the retail sector, leading indicators suggest a significant price spike is imminent in the second quarter. This looming volatility threatens to dampen consumer discretionary spending and force e-commerce platforms to recalibrate pricing strategies to protect thinning margins.
A new Morgan Stanley report identifies 'affordability politics' as a primary risk for the pharmaceutical sector ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. The firm warns that targeted legislative measures to lower prescription drug costs could create significant pricing pressure on high-margin brand-name drugs.
The US economy unexpectedly shed 92,000 jobs in February, marking a sharp reversal in labor market strength and a potential pivot point for consumer spending. This contraction poses immediate risks to the retail and e-commerce sectors as household purchasing power faces its first major test of the year.
The U.S. economy shed 92,000 jobs in February, marking a sharp downturn that signals growing macroeconomic instability. For the venture capital ecosystem, this contraction suggests a cooling period for late-stage valuations and a renewed focus on capital efficiency.
Initial unemployment filings in the United States rose to 212,000 for the week ending February 21, 2026, marking a modest increase that suggests the labor market remains tight. Despite the uptick, claims continue to hover at historically low levels, providing the Federal Reserve with more room to maintain its current monetary policy stance.
Weekly unemployment filings rose modestly to 212,000, signaling continued stability in the US labor market. Despite broader economic pressures, the low level of claims suggests that mass layoffs remain infrequent across major industries.
The United States has officially moved to implement a 10% tariff rate on imported goods, a figure significantly lower than the aggressive levels previously proposed. This strategic shift aims to protect domestic industry while mitigating the inflationary shocks associated with higher trade barriers.
The U.S. economy grew at a lackluster 1.4% annualized rate in the fourth quarter, significantly missing analyst expectations and raising concerns about a broader slowdown. For the venture capital and startup sectors, this deceleration suggests a tightening of enterprise budgets and a more cautious environment for late-stage valuations.
The US economy expanded at a 1.4% annualized rate in the fourth quarter, falling short of analyst expectations and marking a significant deceleration. This cooling growth creates a complex backdrop for the venture capital ecosystem, potentially tightening liquidity while pressuring startup valuations.
US stock futures for the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq are showing modest gains as investors navigate a complex environment of rising Middle East tensions and critical upcoming inflation data. The market remains focused on the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, the PCE index, which will likely dictate the near-term path for interest rates.