Last mentioned: Mar 26, 2026
Governor Term End
Powell's 14-year term as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors officially expires.
Target Window
The period for which the 33% hike probability is currently being priced.
New Projected Pivot
New target for the first 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate.
New Target
The current projected window for the Federal Reserve to begin lowering the federal funds rate.
Previous Target Date
The Fed is now expected to maintain current rates through the end of Q2.
Economic Projections
Updated 'dot plot' will reveal if Fed officials agree with market pricing.
Previous Target
The month originally anticipated for the start of the easing cycle passes without a cut.
Term Expiration
Scheduled end of Powell's current term as Chair, pending potential extension or replacement.
Term Expiration
Powell's current four-year term as Chair of the Board of Governors is scheduled to conclude.
Trump-Xi Summit
Scheduled meeting between U.S. and Chinese presidents to discuss trade and regional stability.
Term Expiration
Jerome Powell's tenure as head of the Federal Reserve Board is set to expire.
Term Expiration
Jerome Powell's tenure as Chair of the Federal Reserve is set to expire.
FOMC Meeting
First major opportunity for the Fed to address the hawkish market shift.
Market Pivot
Dollar Index hits 99.641 as CME FedWatch hike bets are trimmed to 29.4%.
Diplomatic Proposal
U.S. submits a proposal to Iran to end the Gulf conflict; Iran begins formal review.
Transcript Release
Court transcripts are made public, revealing the prosecutor's admission of insufficient evidence.
News Reports Surface
Major news outlets report on the concession, marking a turning point in the Fed investigation.
Market Reaction
Analysts note a reduction in regulatory risk for the central bank following the news.
Prosecutor Concession
Transcript surfaces showing a prosecutor admitting a lack of criminal evidence to proceed with charges.
Energy Spike
Closure of the Strait of Hormuz causes a spike in global energy prices and inflation fears.
The U.S. dollar index surged 0.5% to 99.641 as investors recalibrated expectations for a Federal Reserve pause in December, following signs of potential de-escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict. With CME FedWatch now pricing a 70.6% probability of a policy hold, the greenback has hit multi-year highs against the yen while trade optimism grows ahead of a scheduled Trump-Xi summit in May.
A newly surfaced transcript reveals that federal prosecutors have admitted to a lack of criminal evidence in a high-stakes investigation into the Federal Reserve. The concession significantly reduces the legal risk facing the central bank's leadership and may signal the end of a multi-year ethics and transparency inquiry.
A newly released transcript reveals a prosecutor's admission that a high-profile investigation into the Federal Reserve and its Chair lacks sufficient criminal evidence. This development marks a significant setback for authorities and raises questions about the scope of regulatory oversight and the legal boundaries of central bank activities.
Markets have shifted to price in a one-in-three chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike by October 2026, marking a significant hawkish turn in investor expectations. This development poses a potential challenge for digital assets, which typically face downward pressure as the cost of capital rises and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
Financial markets have recalibrated expectations for Federal Reserve policy, now pricing in a one-in-three chance of a rate hike by October 2026. This hawkish shift reflects growing concerns over persistent inflationary pressures and a resilient labor market, challenging the previous narrative of imminent monetary easing.
A high-stakes investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell faces warnings of unintended consequences, potentially strengthening his position. Legal experts suggest the probe could inadvertently trigger a tenure extension as the central bank seeks to maintain institutional independence.
A high-stakes investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is facing unexpected political and legal headwinds, potentially securing his position beyond his current term. Analysts suggest the probe's aggressive nature has inadvertently strengthened institutional support for Powell, framing the inquiry as an overreach into central bank independence.
Major US stock indices have retreated to their lowest levels in half a year as the conflict involving Iran intensifies, sparking a flight to safety. For the venture ecosystem, this volatility signals a further tightening of the IPO window and a shift in investor appetite toward defensive sectors.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s recent commentary has sparked intense market debate over a potential shift toward acknowledging stagflation. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drive energy costs higher, analysts like Danny Moses warn the Fed may be trapped between persistent inflation and slowing economic growth.
Vast Data CEO Renen Hallak outlined a vision for AI-native data infrastructure at the Vast Forward 2026 conference, emphasizing the shift from storage to intelligence. This comes as Similarweb reports GenAI is fundamentally altering competitive dynamics across industries, while fintech players like Nomad and Kraken expand their institutional and international footprints.
As Vast Data outlines the next phase of AI infrastructure at its 2026 summit, the broader financial landscape is grappling with high mortgage rates and shifting institutional adoption of digital assets. From Kraken’s integration with ICE Chat to the Federal Reserve’s evolving policy path, market participants are navigating a complex intersection of generative AI disruption and macroeconomic volatility.
Arizona has initiated criminal charges against prediction market Kalshi for alleged illegal betting, marking a major regulatory escalation. Simultaneously, Compass dropped its lawsuit against Zillow following listing rule changes, while hawkish Federal Reserve comments triggered a global market sell-off.
The Federal Reserve has signaled a hawkish shift, holding interest rates steady as the escalating Iran-Israel conflict pushes Brent crude to $119. With inflation re-igniting and geopolitical uncertainty mounting, markets have pivoted from expecting rate cuts to bracing for potential hikes in the second quarter of 2026.
The Federal Reserve maintained its benchmark interest rate on March 19, 2026, citing 'wartime uncertainty' as a primary driver for the pause. This decision signals a continued 'higher for longer' environment that will keep pressure on startup valuations and late-stage exit windows.
The Federal Reserve has opted to maintain current benchmark interest rates, citing the unpredictable economic impact of ongoing global conflict. This "wait-and-see" approach signals a cautious stance on inflation and growth as geopolitical tensions reshape market liquidity.
The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at their current levels during the March 2026 meeting while issuing a surprise upward revision to its inflation projections. This 'hawkish hold' signals that the central bank expects price pressures to persist longer than previously anticipated, dampening hopes for near-term rate cuts.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has admitted that traditional economic models are failing to provide a clear roadmap, creating a volatile environment for venture capital. This admission of uncertainty marks a significant shift in central bank communication, impacting startup valuations and exit strategies.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has signaled a period of unprecedented economic opacity, admitting that traditional indicators are providing contradictory signals. This admission of uncertainty has triggered a "flight to quality" in digital assets, with Bitcoin decoupling from traditional equity markets as a non-sovereign hedge.
Arizona has filed criminal charges against Kalshi, a leading prediction market platform, alleging illegal betting operations within the state. This escalation marks a significant shift from federal regulatory scrutiny to state-level criminal enforcement, potentially reshaping the legal landscape for cloud-based event contract platforms.
Arizona authorities have filed criminal charges against prediction market platform Kalshi, alleging the operation of illegal betting activities within the state. The legal escalation comes as Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish inflation comments triggered a sharp sell-off across U.S. equities and Treasuries.