Federal Reserve

Company

Last mentioned: 4d ago

Timeline

  1. Governor Term End

    Powell's 14-year term as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors officially expires.

  2. Target Window

    The period for which the 33% hike probability is currently being priced.

  3. New Projected Pivot

    New target for the first 25 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate.

  4. New Target

    The current projected window for the Federal Reserve to begin lowering the federal funds rate.

  5. Minutes released

    Detailed account of meeting exposes deep divisions over inflation and rate outlook, with a few members pushing for immediate hike.

  6. Minutes released

    Detailed account of meeting exposes deep divisions over inflation and rate outlook, with a few members pushing for immediate hike.

  7. Greenspan dies at age 100

    Passes away at home in Washington, D.C., from complications of Parkinson’s disease.

  8. Dies at Age 100

    Greenspan passed away from complications of Parkinson’s disease, with his wife Andrea Mitchell announcing the death.

  9. Rate decision and projections

    Committee votes unanimously to hold rates at 3.6%. Projections reveal a 50/50 split on rate path by year-end.

  10. Rate decision and projections

    Committee votes unanimously to hold rates at 3.6%. Projections reveal a 50/50 split on rate path by year-end.

  11. FOMC meeting begins

    The Federal Open Market Committee starts its two-day policy meeting.

  12. FOMC meeting begins

    The Federal Open Market Committee starts its two-day policy meeting.

  13. Previous Target Date

    The Fed is now expected to maintain current rates through the end of Q2.

  14. Economic Projections

    Updated 'dot plot' will reveal if Fed officials agree with market pricing.

  15. Previous Target

    The month originally anticipated for the start of the easing cycle passes without a cut.

  16. Term Expiration

    Scheduled end of Powell's current term as Chair, pending potential extension or replacement.

  17. Term Expiration

    Powell's current four-year term as Chair of the Board of Governors is scheduled to conclude.

  18. Trump-Xi Summit

    Scheduled meeting between U.S. and Chinese presidents to discuss trade and regional stability.

  19. Term Expiration

    Jerome Powell's tenure as head of the Federal Reserve Board is set to expire.

  20. Term Expiration

    Jerome Powell's tenure as Chair of the Federal Reserve is set to expire.

Stories mentioning Federal Reserve 20

fed Bearish

50% of FOMC Members Expect Rate Hike by Year-End, Minutes Show

The Federal Reserve’s June meeting minutes reveal a FOMC evenly divided over the rate path, with half projecting a hike by December. This deepest split in years injects volatility risk into equity and bond markets, challenging the soft-landing narrative.

20 sources
fed Neutral

Dollar Rallies as Geopolitical Tensions Ease and Fed Hike Bets Recede

The U.S. dollar index surged 0.5% to 99.641 as investors recalibrated expectations for a Federal Reserve pause in December, following signs of potential de-escalation in the U.S.-Iran conflict. With CME FedWatch now pricing a 70.6% probability of a policy hold, the greenback has hit multi-year highs against the yen while trade optimism grows ahead of a scheduled Trump-Xi summit in May.

2 sources
regulation Neutral

Prosecutor Concedes Lack of Criminal Evidence in Federal Reserve Probe

A newly surfaced transcript reveals that federal prosecutors have admitted to a lack of criminal evidence in a high-stakes investigation into the Federal Reserve. The concession significantly reduces the legal risk facing the central bank's leadership and may signal the end of a multi-year ethics and transparency inquiry.

2 sources
regulation Neutral

Prosecutor Concedes Lack of Criminal Evidence in Federal Reserve Investigation

A newly released transcript reveals a prosecutor's admission that a high-profile investigation into the Federal Reserve and its Chair lacks sufficient criminal evidence. This development marks a significant setback for authorities and raises questions about the scope of regulatory oversight and the legal boundaries of central bank activities.

2 sources
market-trends Neutral

Fed Hike Odds Hit 33% by October: Crypto Markets Brace for Macro Headwinds

Markets have shifted to price in a one-in-three chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike by October 2026, marking a significant hawkish turn in investor expectations. This development poses a potential challenge for digital assets, which typically face downward pressure as the cost of capital rises and the U.S. dollar strengthens.

2 sources
fed Neutral

Fed Policy Pivot: Markets Price 33% Chance of Rate Hike by October

Financial markets have recalibrated expectations for Federal Reserve policy, now pricing in a one-in-three chance of a rate hike by October 2026. This hawkish shift reflects growing concerns over persistent inflationary pressures and a resilient labor market, challenging the previous narrative of imminent monetary easing.

2 sources
regulation Neutral

Powell Probe Backfires: Regulatory Scrutiny May Extend Fed Chair Tenure

A high-stakes investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is facing unexpected political and legal headwinds, potentially securing his position beyond his current term. Analysts suggest the probe's aggressive nature has inadvertently strengthened institutional support for Powell, framing the inquiry as an overreach into central bank independence.

3 sources
fed Bearish

Powell’s Rhetoric Pivot: Is the Federal Reserve Bracing for Stagflation?

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s recent commentary has sparked intense market debate over a potential shift toward acknowledging stagflation. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drive energy costs higher, analysts like Danny Moses warn the Fed may be trapped between persistent inflation and slowing economic growth.

4 sources
market-trends Neutral

Vast Data and the Next Frontier of AI Infrastructure: Insights from Forward 2026

Vast Data CEO Renen Hallak outlined a vision for AI-native data infrastructure at the Vast Forward 2026 conference, emphasizing the shift from storage to intelligence. This comes as Similarweb reports GenAI is fundamentally altering competitive dynamics across industries, while fintech players like Nomad and Kraken expand their institutional and international footprints.

6 sources
markets Neutral

AI Infrastructure and Institutional Shifts Define 2026 Market Outlook

As Vast Data outlines the next phase of AI infrastructure at its 2026 summit, the broader financial landscape is grappling with high mortgage rates and shifting institutional adoption of digital assets. From Kraken’s integration with ICE Chat to the Federal Reserve’s evolving policy path, market participants are navigating a complex intersection of generative AI disruption and macroeconomic volatility.

6 sources
other Bearish

Arizona Charges Kalshi as Compass and Zillow End Legal Feud Amid Market Rout

Arizona has initiated criminal charges against prediction market Kalshi for alleged illegal betting, marking a major regulatory escalation. Simultaneously, Compass dropped its lawsuit against Zillow following listing rule changes, while hawkish Federal Reserve comments triggered a global market sell-off.

9 sources
fed Bearish

Fed Rate Path Clouds as Iran Conflict Drives Energy Inflation Crisis

The Federal Reserve has signaled a hawkish shift, holding interest rates steady as the escalating Iran-Israel conflict pushes Brent crude to $119. With inflation re-igniting and geopolitical uncertainty mounting, markets have pivoted from expecting rate cuts to bracing for potential hikes in the second quarter of 2026.

2 sources